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Four Battlegrounds: Power in the Age of Artificial Intelligence

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Four Battlegrounds: Power in the Age of Artificial Intelligence by Paul Scharre is one of the best books I've read on the topic.

Here's one cautionary line: "Militaries are competing to develop and field a technology that is unreliable and insecure. Four Battlegrounds is sprawling in scope, encompassing both the technical elements of AI and this “general-purpose enabling” technology’s geopolitical and military implications. S.-based technology multinationals — including IBM and Google — begin modestly investing in the continent’s AI potential, seeking to link technological innovation in public health and medicine with a burgeoning, tech-savvy youth demographic.

Scharre also examines how AI might change the nature of future conflicts, which may feature swarms of drones and supersmart targeting. But, for the commercial or military deployment of AI systems, especially for high-stakes medical, financial, or defense purposes, it is clear that they must be improved to this end. It bored me because I knew a lot of the content already, and that is because this is such important content that I have put a lot of time into trying to know it. I hadn't heard of this book, but had the author's Army of None: Autonomous Weapons and the Future of War on hold. Data is a vital resource like coal or oil, Advanced computer chips are the essence of computing power, Talent is about people, and institutions that effectively incorporate AI into their economy, society, and especially their military.

The author identifies four crucial areas: data collection, computing hardware, talent, and institutions. The book hedges on exactly which forms AI will take as technology continues to develop and proliferate.An excellent survey view of the challenges facing the US and allies about AI in terms of its applications in combat, in strategic civilian impacts, and in its potential transformation of conflict. However, a clearer discussion at the beginning of the book would have made the remaining chapters clearer. He explores the ways AI systems are already discovering new strategies via millions of war-game simulations, developing combat tactics better than any human, tracking billions of people using biometrics, and subtly controlling information with secret algorithms.

With revealing anecdotes, cogent analysis, and incisive insight, Scharre demystifies AI and its national security implications. A future in which AI continues to suffer from these limitations would be strange and appears to contradict the thesis of the book: that states have agency in how they deal with AI. S. China’s government-driven model provides unity of purpose and unlimited funding but restricts innovation. The reader is reminded at appropriate intervals that machine learning-based systems are fundamentally limited, constrained to the types of data they are trained on and narrowly applicable, are generally brittle, and lack after-the-fact explainability. Scharre’s work serves as an excellent invitation for both regional and interdisciplinary conversations on the role of AI in the future of power and warfare, with immediate implications for MENA states actively working to digitally transform.Conceivably that could mean that large countries could be outcompeted by a small country that bypassed such precautions (Israel? My intuition says it will change war in some important way, but the book left me without any vision of that impact. His real world-oriented work attempts to contextualize advancements in machine learning and AI for the purposes of defense and national strategic policy, identifying four key areas of contention moving forward: compute, data, algorithms, and people.

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